Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.148284 4.645650 5.186688 5.820186 6.543171 7.344360 8.301920
2025-01-26 3.417379 4.079446 4.853781 5.831130 7.038566 8.490035 10.379976
2025-02-02 3.033746 3.800621 4.748475 6.016499 7.683987 9.823527 12.811353
2025-02-09 2.732234 3.557986 4.625131 6.122286 8.195610 11.005603 15.171225
2025-02-16 2.490740 3.351300 4.506327 6.194314 8.639260 12.116177 17.552071
2025-02-23 2.294310 3.176621 4.400921 6.256203 9.053843 13.209499 20.031446
2025-03-02 2.063470 2.926584 4.158382 6.083533 9.088607 13.724151 21.666324
2025-03-09 1.895761 2.749377 3.999897 6.011675 9.256167 14.444303 23.706611
2025-03-16 1.748663 2.588105 3.847610 5.928515 9.387582 15.107842 25.724323
2025-03-23 1.693958 2.561186 3.895559 6.163280 10.056663 16.732255 29.655647
2025-03-30 1.591745 2.450705 3.801061 6.152265 10.303345 17.648648 32.406241
2025-04-06 1.489893 2.332256 3.682866 6.087684 10.444907 18.385327 34.906413
2025-04-13 1.341226 2.129202 3.413899 5.745371 10.064593 18.138157 35.454776
2025-04-20 1.273988 2.056369 3.357518 5.773200 10.369398 19.228323 38.946228
2025-04-27 1.239701 2.036126 3.388503 5.960304 10.994066 21.019860 44.244648
2025-05-04 1.194799 1.993848 3.376854 6.065815 11.469068 22.565921 49.259703
2025-05-11 1.148325 1.945138 3.349310 6.137272 11.881416 24.030261 54.339958
2025-05-18 1.104035 1.896963 3.318547 6.198554 12.277630 25.507884 59.718219
2025-05-25 1.032044 1.793548 3.177717 6.027697 12.162007 25.826091 62.208086
2025-06-01 0.978824 1.721228 3.090106 5.956590 12.253899 26.628262 66.108690
2025-06-08 0.928278 1.650693 3.000932 5.874297 12.311665 27.356044 69.941210
2025-06-15 0.918171 1.655991 3.059005 6.106614 13.107970 29.974912 79.626438
2025-06-22 0.881109 1.606993 3.006260 6.095714 13.336934 31.212546 85.529988